Yesterday, NOM RI released game changing statistics that definitively showed that Rhode Island voters want the people—not the legislature—to vote on the definition of marriage. Based on their reaction—going into overdrive to try to discredit QEV Analytics and their polling methods—it is fair to surmise that the progressive media and same-sex marriage activists fear this information gaining traction with the public.
Some of the most frequent “complaints” are easily answered:
“Even A NOM Push Poll Shows Rhode Island Support For Marriage Equality”
That would be shocking, if it were true. No such data exists anywhere in the polling results.
“The poll didn’t ask whether voters support same-sex marriage.”
The poll never claimed to measure the attitudes towards the redefinition of marriage, but instead focuses on whether such a vote should be the responsibility of the people or the legislature. Advocates for redefining marriage are free to fund their own survey with whatever questions they wish. And if same-sex marriage activists are so sure of their own numbers, then they should have no fear of the ballot.
“The poll sample was incredibly low.”
Not true. According to The Research Advisors—a company with over twenty years of corporate, public policy and academic research expertise—the sample size used in this survey exceeds the number needed to achieve the reported margin of error by 17 people (see chart below). A larger sample size would not affect the statistical results, but only reduce the margin of error. This is wholly unnecessary in this particular survey because the reported margin of error (4.9%) is dwarfed by the considerable majority opinions expressed by those participating.
Just to be safe though, here’s a second sample size calculator courtesy of Creative Research Systems, which confirms the same information:
Small sample size claims: debunked.
“The poll grossly over-sampled older voters.”
The poll clearly stated that it was conducted on Rhode Island voters, not the general population of Rhode Island. Statewide age demographics do nothing to discredit the survey results of a survey conducted on randomly selected Rhode Island voters.
“The polling company is extremely conservative and has a poor track record”
That sounds really bad, but where’s the proof? The subjective nature of this claim makes it irrelevant. Not to mention the often cited “proof”–a poll of New York voters—has already been debunked (see #4). Sound methodology, as demonstrated in point #3 above, determines the accuracy of polling, not the politics or client list of the company conducting the survey.
“The phrasing ‘redefinition of marriage’ is leading”
According to this politically neutral article from GoLocalProv, the results would likely have been very similar if language had been used that was considered more politically neutral by both sides of the issue.
And it is disingenuous for same-sex marriage activists to decry this phrase as “leading,” when they regularly use phrases such as “right to marry”, “marriage equality”, “civil rights” to create their narrative.
And if the argument is that people will change their minds on the issue based on the language used, then that would render null and void all the polls conducted by gay marriage activists who use such terms as well.